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Home Cloud Computing

Microsoft Faces AI Uncertainty Amid OpenAI Cloud Shift

Sam Marten – Tech & AI Writer by Sam Marten – Tech & AI Writer
July 30, 2025
in Cloud Computing
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Microsoft Faces AI Uncertainty Amid OpenAI Cloud Shift
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Introduction to Microsoft and OpenAI Partnership

Microsoft’s close partnership with OpenAI has been a significant factor in its recent growth. With exclusive access to OpenAI’s models, Azure’s performance has boosted, and Microsoft’s market value has increased to nearly $4 trillion. For the April-June quarter, Azure revenue is expected to rise 34.8%, matching Microsoft’s own forecast and slightly ahead of the previous quarter’s 33% growth.

Renegotiation of the Partnership

However, this partnership is now being renegotiated. OpenAI is looking to go public, and a shift to a public-benefit corporation would require Microsoft’s approval. There has been a standoff over how much access Microsoft would retain to OpenAI’s technology and what its equity stake would look like after the change. The restructuring is tied to OpenAI’s $40 billion funding round, led by Japan’s SoftBank. Half of that funding depends on the legal change being completed before the end of the year. Without Microsoft’s sign-off, the deal can’t move forward.

Expansion of OpenAI’s Cloud Partnerships

Meanwhile, OpenAI has been broadening its cloud partnerships. The company recently expanded its work with Oracle, which includes plans for 4.5 gigawatts of data centre capacity, and has also begun using Google Cloud for additional compute power. This expansion has raised questions about the future of Microsoft’s partnership with OpenAI.

Impact on Microsoft’s Stock and Earnings

Analysts at UBS say investor opinion is mixed on what this means for Microsoft, though the company still has use in talks. "Microsoft’s leadership earned enough credibility … such that the company will end up negotiating terms that will be in the interest of its shareholders," analysts wrote. The market seems to share that view, with Microsoft’s stock climbing more than 20% so far this year. Beyond its AI interests, the company is expected to report strong overall numbers for the quarter, with analysts projecting a 14% revenue jump to $73.81 billion.

Ongoing Talks to Extend Access to OpenAI’s Tech

Microsoft is now in advanced talks with OpenAI to update their deal, according to Bloomberg News, which cited two people familiar with the matter. The goal is to make sure Microsoft keeps access to OpenAI’s latest models even if the startup declares it has reached artificial general intelligence – a point at which some rights in the current agreement would no longer apply. Negotiators have been meeting regularly and could finalize new terms in the coming weeks.

Challenges Facing OpenAI

At the same time, OpenAI is also facing pressure from outside. Elon Musk, who co-founded the company in 2015 but later left, is now suing OpenAI for allegedly straying from its original mission – to build AI for the benefit of humanity, not private profit. As Microsoft reports earnings, its relationship with OpenAI – and OpenAI’s growing work with rival cloud providers – will be closely watched.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the partnership between Microsoft and OpenAI is undergoing significant changes. With OpenAI’s plans to go public and expand its cloud partnerships, Microsoft’s access to OpenAI’s technology is uncertain. While Microsoft’s stock has climbed, the company’s future earnings and revenue growth will depend on its ability to negotiate a favorable deal with OpenAI. As the situation continues to unfold, investors and industry leaders will be watching closely.

FAQs

Q: What is the current status of the partnership between Microsoft and OpenAI?
A: The partnership is being renegotiated, with OpenAI looking to go public and Microsoft seeking to retain access to OpenAI’s technology.
Q: What is the significance of OpenAI’s $40 billion funding round?
A: The funding round, led by Japan’s SoftBank, is tied to OpenAI’s plans to shift to a public-benefit corporation, which requires Microsoft’s approval.
Q: How has OpenAI expanded its cloud partnerships?
A: OpenAI has recently expanded its work with Oracle and begun using Google Cloud for additional compute power.
Q: What are the implications of the renegotiation for Microsoft’s stock and earnings?
A: The renegotiation has raised questions about Microsoft’s future access to OpenAI’s technology, but the company’s stock has climbed, and earnings are expected to remain strong.
Q: What challenges is OpenAI facing?
A: OpenAI is facing pressure from outside, including a lawsuit from Elon Musk, who alleges that the company has strayed from its original mission.

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Sam Marten – Tech & AI Writer

Sam Marten – Tech & AI Writer

Sam Marten is a skilled technology writer with a strong focus on artificial intelligence, emerging tech trends, and digital innovation. With years of experience in tech journalism, he has written in-depth articles for leading tech blogs and publications, breaking down complex AI concepts into engaging and accessible content. His expertise includes machine learning, automation, cybersecurity, and the impact of AI on various industries. Passionate about exploring the future of technology, Sam stays up to date with the latest advancements, providing insightful analysis and practical insights for tech enthusiasts and professionals alike. Beyond writing, he enjoys testing AI-powered tools, reviewing new software, and discussing the ethical implications of artificial intelligence in modern society.

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