Google Finance Update: Betting on the Future

Introduction to Prediction Markets

Financial markets can turn on a dime, and AI can’t predict the future. However, Google seems to think that people make smart predictions in aggregate when there’s money on the line. That’s why, as part of the Finance update, Google has partnered with Kalshi and Polymarket, the current leaders in online prediction markets.

How Prediction Markets Work

These platforms let people place bets on, well, just about anything. If you have a hunch when Google will release Gemini 3.0, when the government shutdown will end, or the number of Tweets Elon Musk will post this month, you can place a wager on it. Maybe you’ll earn money, but more likely, you’ll lose it—only 12.7 percent of crypto wallets on Polymarket show profits.

Google Finance Integration

Google says it will get fresh prediction data from both sites, which will allow Gemini to speculate on the future with “the wisdom of crowds.” Google suggests you could type “What will GDP growth be for 2025?” into the search box. Finance will pull the latest probabilities from Kalshi and Polymarket to generate a response that could include graphs and charts based on people’s bets. Naturally, Google does not make promises as to the accuracy of these predictions.

Availability and Access

The new AI features of Google Finance are coming to all US users in the next few weeks, and starting this week, the service will make its debut in India. Likewise, the predictions market data will arrive in the next couple of weeks. If that’s not fast enough, you can opt-in to get early access via the Google Labs page.

Conclusion

Google’s partnership with Kalshi and Polymarket brings a new level of excitement to the world of finance. By leveraging the power of prediction markets, Google Finance aims to provide users with a unique perspective on the future. While the accuracy of these predictions is not guaranteed, it’s certainly an interesting development in the world of finance and technology.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What are prediction markets?
A: Prediction markets are platforms that allow people to place bets on the outcome of future events.

Q: How does Google Finance use prediction market data?
A: Google Finance uses prediction market data to generate responses to user queries, including graphs and charts based on people’s bets.

Q: Is the prediction market data accurate?
A: Google does not make promises as to the accuracy of the prediction market data.

Q: How can I access the new AI features of Google Finance?
A: The new AI features of Google Finance are coming to all US users in the next few weeks, and you can opt-in to get early access via the Google Labs page.